It looks like FiveThirtyEight did pretty well afterall

November 10th, 2008

Now that Barack Obama has officially won North Carolina and all of the electoral map is filled in (save Missouri, kind of), we were inclined to look at which of the pollsters and prognosticators called the election right.

First, we can look at Nate Silver, a new prognosticator to the political scene. The baseball statistician turned Electoral College map savant really was the belle of the election ball, living up to his website’s tag line: Electoral projections done right.

While Silver never did any of his own polling, he analyzed all the pollsters’ findings and spit out every voting model possible. Ultimately, he said Obama would win by 52 percent to 46 percent. In the end, Obama won 52 percent to 46 percent in the popular vote.

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Entry Filed under: Interesting, Political