An Atlanta actuarial firm says both presidential candidates John McCain and Barack Obama â€œcan reasonably be expected to serve two full terms in good health.â€
But just barely.
The 30-year-old Bragg actuarial company, which specializes in morbidity and mortality calculations, gives 71-year-old McCain a â€œhealthy expectancyâ€ of 8.4 years, taking into account his four bouts with melanoma of the skin.
Barack Obama, who turned 47 today, can expect 21.9 years of good health â€” a forecast shortened by 10 percent or so by his history of cigarette smoking.
â€œEither candidate can be expected to serve two full terms, without age or health being an issue,â€ said John M. Bragg, the firm chairman.
The company drew a distinction â€œhealth expectancyâ€ and the more usual term â€œlife expectancy.â€
â€œIn this analysis, â€˜healthyâ€™ means the person does not require the care provided by an assisted living facility and is free of Alzheimerâ€™s disease,â€ Bragg said.